S. Vicente y las Granadinas vs Dominica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 1
GRD
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
VCT
0 - 2
LCA
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SUR
1 - 0
VCT
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
VCT
1 - 1
CUB
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
TTO
1 - 1
VCT
85%
11%
5%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DMA
0 - 1
LCA
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
DMA
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
DMA
3 - 2
ABW
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BRB
1 - 0
DMA
67%
19%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
3 - 0
DMA
86%
11%
3%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | 0 |