WC Qual. CONCACAF 3ra Ronda Caribe Final
Global 5-2
S. Vicente y las Granadinas vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ATG
2 - 1
VCT
65%
18%
17%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
KNA
1 - 2
VCT
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
VCT
1 - 0
KNA
50%
22%
28%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
VIR
1 - 5
VCT
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
VCT
9 - 0
VIR
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 5 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ATG
2 - 1
VCT
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
VGB
4 - 5
ATG
39%
24%
38%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ATG
3 - 2
DMA
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
BMU
1 - 1
ATG
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ATG
0 - 0
BMU
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |