San Telmo vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
DOC
1 - 1
STM
49%
26%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
ITA
43%
28%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 1
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARQ
0 - 1
STM
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
STM
0 - 0
TAL
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
LAF
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LUJ
2 - 1
ARM
47%
28%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
EXC
57%
25%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 1
ARM
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
LIN
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |