San Telmo vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 2
STM
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
3 - 0
STM
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
DAL
3 - 3
STM
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STM
2 - 1
SMA
30%
29%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 2
DAL
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
ALM
5 - 0
BRO
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 0
ALM
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |