San Telmo vs Almagro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Telmo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AND
1 - 1
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STM
4 - 0
ACA
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
STM
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
STM
0 - 2
COM
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
PLA
3 - 0
STM
58%
26%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Almagro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
COL
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 2
ALM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
BRO
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
CAD
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
ALM
41%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |