San Simón vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOS
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 0
SAN
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 1
WIL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
4 - 2
SBO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
WIL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
LOS
27%
26%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AUN
3 - 0
WIL
56%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |