San Simón vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
4 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MEL
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UTC
39%
28%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 4
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 3
UNI
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |