San Simón vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 0
SAN
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
VAL
34%
30%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
COM
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPC
24%
23%
53%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
AUR
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 3
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |