Tercera Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
San Roque de Lepe vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
SRQ
3 - 0
MAL
48%
26%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 1
SRQ
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SRQ
2 - 0
ALM
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
SRQ
22%
24%
53%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CEU
0 - 2
SRQ
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
YEC
2 - 1
ALZ
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ALZ
3 - 0
YEC
40%
27%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ALZ
0 - 0
LOJ
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ALZ
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
NUC
1 - 0
ALZ
29%
27%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |