CF Sant Rafel vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Sant Rafel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BNS
2 - 1
SRF
35%
26%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
SRF
0 - 3
PBL
25%
25%
50%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CLL
2 - 2
SRF
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SRF
0 - 2
FLN
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IBI
5 - 0
SRF
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
FER
39%
24%
37%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
FER
3 - 1
BNS
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PBL
4 - 1
FER
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FER
0 - 3
CLL
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
FLN
0 - 1
FER
54%
24%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |