San Prudencio vs El Casar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Prudencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
TAL
37%
26%
37%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TAL
0 - 0
ZAR
35%
25%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TAL
0 - 1
SAG
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CDF
2 - 1
TAL
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 1
TAL
50%
25%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
El Casar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GIM
2 - 0
CAS
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAG
5 - 3
CAS
37%
25%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 1
HOR
30%
25%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SON
3 - 3
CAS
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |