Luparense vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 1
SAN
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIR
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
GIO
0 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAC
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 4
URF
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
VNZ
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VNZ
2 - 1
FMO
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 7
VNZ
10%
19%
72%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VNZ
2 - 0
DCA
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
VNZ
6 - 1
TRI
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |