Luparense vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACE
2 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 2
MES
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
LEV
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FON
0 - 4
SAN
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
FMO
45%
24%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DCA
2 - 1
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIR
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GIO
1 - 3
TRI
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
TRI
82%
15%
4%
|
24 | 76 | 52 | 0 |