Luparense vs US Lavis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1186%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
10º
10º
9
18º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 77 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 77 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 71 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 67 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 62 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 60 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 56 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 55 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 50 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 49 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 49 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 48 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 45 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 42 |
16º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 37 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 33 |
18º
|
56% | |
|
19º
|
17 | 28 |
19º
|
80% | |
|
|
20º
|
9 | 17 |
20º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SDA
1 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
BV5
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAL
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
CNO
71%
16%
13%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
US Lavis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 3
BRI
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CNO
3 - 0
LAV
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
0 - 1
ADB
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TRE
4 - 1
LAV
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 56 | 44 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 2
MON
11%
16%
73%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | +4 |