Luparense vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
DCA
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MON
4 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MEZ
3 - 2
FOR
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
MEZ
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MEZ
0 - 4
ROM
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
COR
2 - 0
MEZ
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MEZ
1 - 1
MAS
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |