Luparense vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
LEV
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FON
0 - 4
SAN
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
CNO
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
ABA
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FMO
4 - 2
MES
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MES
2 - 2
VNZ
19%
22%
60%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DCA
0 - 1
MES
24%
22%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MES
3 - 3
VIR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |