Luparense vs Ambrosiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 3
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUI
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ACE
2 - 2
SAN
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
DEL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 1
SAN
26%
24%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ambrosiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CJA
2 - 1
GSD
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
GSD
2 - 0
VIG
65%
18%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TAM
0 - 3
GSD
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
GSD
3 - 2
LUI
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
GSD
0 - 0
CAL
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |