Luparense vs Fincantieri Monfalcone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VNZ
4 - 0
SAN
85%
12%
4%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
DCA
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
5 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
GIO
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 1
SAN
71%
19%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fincantieri Monfalcone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FMO
1 - 0
ABA
29%
23%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
FMO
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FMO
1 - 2
VNZ
14%
21%
66%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FMO
1 - 1
DCA
68%
18%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 0
FMO
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |