Luparense vs Clodiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
12º
4º
55
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 33 |
16º
|
85% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
85% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MON
3 - 3
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
9%
15%
76%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CJA
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Clodiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CLO
3 - 2
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 0
CLO
13%
23%
65%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CLO
1 - 0
LEG
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CJA
0 - 0
CLO
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 3
CLO
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |