Luparense vs Cattolica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
UAR
2 - 1
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 2
SDA
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 0
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MES
1 - 3
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPI
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cattolica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 0
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MES
2 - 0
CAT
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAT
3 - 2
SPI
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 1
CAT
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 0
CJA
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +2 |