SN Notaresco 2018 vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIS
4 - 2
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
REC
2 - 0
ASD
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
REC
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
CAS
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 0
REC
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REC
0 - 2
JES
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |