SN Notaresco 2018 vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 1
SAN
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
21%
22%
58%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ASD
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALF
2 - 1
MON
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
SAM
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JES
0 - 0
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |