SN Notaresco 2018 vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
JES
2 - 3
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
CAM
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 3
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAS
53%
24%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PIN
0 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
0 - 0
FRA
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAQ
23%
25%
53%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
4 - 0
FAB
84%
12%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 1
LAQ
21%
24%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LAQ
2 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |