SN Notaresco 2018 vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLY
46%
25%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 1
SAN
13%
18%
69%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
USN
3 - 3
SAN
7%
14%
80%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 0
USN
91%
6%
2%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
FRA
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
SAN
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
VIS
0 - 1
FRA
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |