SN Notaresco 2018 vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASD
38%
22%
39%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
PES
5 - 0
SAN
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 75 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 4
SSS
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
JES
60%
22%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FER
0 - 1
VNZ
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
USC
4 - 3
FER
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FAN
2 - 2
FER
50%
25%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FER
3 - 0
AMI
76%
17%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REC
0 - 1
FER
43%
26%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |