SN Notaresco 2018 vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
USN
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
AVE
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
REC
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
SAN
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 0
FAB
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 2
MON
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
PIN
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 1
FAB
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |