SN Notaresco 2018 vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
AVE
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SSS
3 - 1
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
OLY
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMI
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
JES
1 - 0
CAS
64%
19%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FVE
2 - 0
CAS
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 0
AMI
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
FAN
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |