SN Notaresco 2018 vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
4 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
SFF
57%
21%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
OLY
0 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
RIE
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
APR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
APR
1 - 4
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
APR
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
APR
0 - 3
CAM
28%
25%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |