SN Notaresco 2018 vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 1
SAN
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 3
ALB
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 5
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REC
0 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JES
2 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 1
OLY
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
3 - 2
ALF
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAM
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |