CA San Miguel vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SMG
1 - 1
RIE
24%
27%
49%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
SMG
0 - 1
VIC
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
SMG
1 - 0
MID
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SMG
2 - 0
YUP
45%
28%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LUG
2 - 0
SMG
38%
29%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
JJU
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 0
ITA
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARQ
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
44%
27%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAC
0 - 1
ITA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |