CA San Miguel vs Ituzaingó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
SMG
45%
26%
30%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SMG
4 - 0
MUÑ
74%
19%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CES
0 - 0
SMG
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 0
SMG
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -4 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
SMG
2 - 1
CAA
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 0
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
ITU
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
ITU
34%
27%
39%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ITU
3 - 0
CES
46%
27%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 0
ITU
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -4 |