CA San Miguel vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
SMG
41%
28%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
SMG
3 - 2
JJU
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
SMG
46%
27%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
SMG
0 - 0
CCO
48%
26%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MID
3 - 0
SMG
30%
28%
42%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ARQ
1 - 1
LAF
47%
26%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ARQ
2 - 2
DOC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 3
ARQ
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
TAL
3 - 1
ARQ
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
ARQ
1 - 1
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |