CA San Miguel vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
LAM
2 - 2
SMG
34%
30%
37%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
SMG
3 - 1
TAL
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
SMG
1 - 4
LAF
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
DOC
2 - 1
SMG
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
SMG
3 - 2
SMA
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 0
LAF
37%
28%
36%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
DOC
1 - 2
ARM
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 0
SMA
20%
22%
58%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
ARQ
1 - 0
ARM
57%
23%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 1
CAM
56%
24%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |