San Mateo CD vs El Gancho CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Mateo CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CUA
1 - 1
SMA
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
CDA
29%
22%
49%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UJV
1 - 1
SMA
73%
14%
12%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
RAN
4 - 1
SMA
78%
13%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 3
VIL
47%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
El Gancho CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GAN
0 - 2
ALF
36%
21%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CUA
3 - 0
GAN
46%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GAN
4 - 3
AJU
51%
20%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
GAN
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
GAN
4 - 3
OLI
35%
22%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |