San Marzano vs Atletico Uri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+80%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
18º
10º
37
5º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SMR
2 - 2
PAG
8%
15%
78%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ISC
0 - 0
SMR
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMR
2 - 0
RFC
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ULD
2 - 0
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 0
SSC
10%
16%
75%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Atletico Uri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AUR
2 - 5
ANZ
64%
18%
17%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 1
AUR
75%
17%
9%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOR
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BUD
2 - 1
AUR
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AUR
1 - 0
85%
10%
5%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | +1 |