San Marzano vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
73.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+138%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
7º
18º
10º
35
6º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
89% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
89% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
71.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SSM
2 - 3
SMR
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 2
SMR
66%
20%
14%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
OST
1 - 1
ANZ
68%
19%
12%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 1
ANZ
9%
12%
79%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALB
7 - 1
ANZ
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
0 - 5
LAD
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LAT
3 - 2
ANZ
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |