Torneo Federal A Final
Global 4-2
San Martín Tucumán vs Unión Aconquija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 1
SMA
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 2
SPB
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SPB
0 - 1
SMA
63%
23%
13%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
GAF
24%
29%
47%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Aconquija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 1
JAN
46%
29%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
JAN
1 - 1
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 3
FER
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 1
CON
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |