San Martín Tucumán vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
8.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 3
SMA
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
3 - 0
ATL
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
MIT
0 - 0
SMA
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ALV
2 - 0
SMA
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 3
ALM
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 3
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATL
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |