Torneo Federal A PlayOffs Last 16
Global 4-2
San Martín Tucumán vs Libertad Sunchales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 2
SMA
39%
29%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GYT
0 - 1
SMA
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 1
TFE
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 0
GIM
57%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GAF
0 - 1
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad Sunchales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 2
SMA
39%
29%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 1
JUV
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CEN
2 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 1
CCS
45%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SJO
2 - 0
LIB
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |