San Martín Tucumán vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
SMA
25%
27%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
IRV
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
1 - 1
SMA
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
ALD
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
INS
1 - 3
CAI
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
INS
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
INS
2 - 1
CAU
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
INS
0 - 0
RAF
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |