Torneo Federal A 1/16
Global 2-2
San Martín Tucumán vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 2
SMA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
JUU
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 1
SMA
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 2
GYT
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 2
SMA
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 0
SLO
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SJO
4 - 0
GIM
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 2
AMT
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VSR
0 - 2
GIM
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |