San Martín Tucumán vs Concepción FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
SMA
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
0 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 2
SJO
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
SMA
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
CAG
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
MIT
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
SJO
1 - 1
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
SMA
44%
28%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |