San Martín Tucumán vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
GOD
3 - 2
SMA
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
SMA
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SMA
1 - 0
EST
30%
28%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SMA
2 - 2
TIG
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ARG
2 - 2
SMA
57%
26%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
VEL
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ARS
0 - 5
CEN
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CEN
3 - 1
SLO
32%
27%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAN
3 - 1
CEN
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |