San Martín Tucumán vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 0
SMA
22%
29%
49%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
SUA
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 1
SMA
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
INS
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 2
SMA
19%
27%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
SUA
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 1
BRO
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 1
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
BRO
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 3
MIT
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |