San Martín Tucumán vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
SMA
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAT
0 - 0
SMA
36%
30%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 0
BEL
41%
29%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 0
SMA
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 0
SMA
26%
29%
46%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
RAF
2 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 0
RAF
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RAF
1 - 1
ALM
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
DYJ
0 - 1
RAF
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
PAT
1 - 1
RAF
8%
17%
75%
|
76 | 9 | 67 | 0 |