San Martín Tucumán vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2008 |
GOD
2 - 0
SMA
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2008 |
SMA
2 - 0
BEL
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 2
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
SMA
1 - 1
ALM
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
DYJ
3 - 1
SMA
36%
29%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 1
QUI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
BHU
2 - 0
RAF
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
RAF
4 - 0
IRV
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TAL
1 - 2
RAF
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
RAF
0 - 1
ALD
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |