San Martín Tucumán vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
SMA
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
SMA
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 1
MIT
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
SMA
37%
26%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
ALM
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 1
ATL
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MIT
3 - 2
ALM
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
EST
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |