San Martín San Juan vs Sportivo Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ALB
3 - 0
SMA
45%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
SMA
1 - 1
OLI
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
GIM
3 - 2
SMA
44%
28%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
RAF
0 - 0
SMA
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SMA
0 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 1
RAF
18%
27%
55%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
ITA
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
ALD
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
ITA
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 3
BUC
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |