San Martín San Juan vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATT
3 - 2
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 0
TEM
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DYJ
0 - 0
SMA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GOD
1 - 0
SMA
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 2
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
CCS
2 - 3
INS
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
JUU
62%
23%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DAL
2 - 1
INS
31%
30%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
INS
0 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |