San Martín San Juan vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 0
SMA
26%
28%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 2
RAF
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 1
SMA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
EST
3 - 1
SMA
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 1
SMA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 1
ALB
59%
25%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
GBR
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 0
BRO
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
BRO
2 - 1
GIM
52%
27%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
RSA
1 - 3
BRO
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |